Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Niña predictions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Season-dependent dynamics of nonlinear optimal error growth and El Niño-Southern Oscillation predictability in a theoretical model
[1] Most state-of-the-art climate models have difficulty in the prediction of El NiñoSouthern Oscillation (ENSO) starting from preboreal spring seasons. The causes of this spring predictability barrier (SPB) remain elusive. With a theoretical ENSO system model, we investigate this controversial issue by tracing the evolution of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) and by analyzing ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climate Dynamics
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0930-7575,1432-0894
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04631-5